GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

1. FC Nürnberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

1. FC Nürnberg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Oviedo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and 1. FC Nürnberg hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while 1. FC Nürnberg holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

1. FC Nürnberg

Probability

56.5%

Model confidence

9.6%

1. FC Nürnberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1. FC NürnbergDWWWD

GF 23 · GA 8 · avg 4.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
OviedoWDDLL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
1. FC NürnbergOviedo
71.4Attack41.7
52.4Defence50.0
47.6Form50.0
53.8Power50.3
2.27xG1.34
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