GGOALVIO

1. FC Köln logo1. FC KölnvsReal Sociedad logoReal Sociedad

COMPLETED

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/8/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

1. FC Köln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

1.FC Köln are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Real Sociedad are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and 1.FC Köln hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring 1.FC Köln with 8.6% confidence, a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

1. FC Köln

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

8.6%

1. FC Köln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

1. FC KölnLLDLD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Real SociedadDLDDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
1. FC KölnReal Sociedad
100.0Attack50.0
16.7Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power50.0
2.21xG1.71
View match centre →