Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AB · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
07 Vestur are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while AB are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AB hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Meistaradeildin, while AB holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AB
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
AB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80